Simulation of Climate-adaptive Low-carbon Cities

Together with post-pandemic urban planning, the global climate crisis is at a critical time, requiring urban planners to respond immediately. Our key research area is China's rapidly transforming Yangtze River Delta Region (YRDR), which requires a deeper understanding of regional integration and policy adjustment to achieve the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDG).

Projects

Integrating AI for Climate-Resilient Urban Planning in China

Integrating AI for Climate-Resilient Urban Planning in China

Publications

  1. Huang, K., Stone, B., Guan, C.* et al. (2025) Declining urban density attenuates rising population exposure to surface heat extremes. scientific report 15, 13860.(SCI) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-96045-z
  2. Wu, Y., Zheng, Y.*, Liu, J., Yang, Q., Shi, B., Guan, C., & Deng, W. (2025) Spatial and Temporal Variability of Near-Surface CO2 and Influencing Factors in Urban Communities. Land, 14(4), 888. (SCIE&SSCI) https://doi.org/10.3390/land14040888
  3. Guan, C.*, & You, M.  (2024). Integrating landscape and urban development in a comprehensive landscape sensitivity index: A case study of the Appalachian Trail region. Urban Forestry & Urban Greening, 93, 10,  128234. (SCIE&SSCI) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ufug.2024.128234 
  4. You, M. , & Guan, C.* . (2024). Does self-containment of spatial scale and land use function contribute to mitigate urban heat island effects? lessons from new towns in shanghai. Land Use Policy, 146(000).(SSCI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107323
  5. Ma, R., Gao, J., Guan, C., & Zhang, B.* (2024). Coal mine closure substantially increases terrestrial water storage in China. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 418. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01589-z 
  6. Guo, J., Gao, J., Gao, S., Yan, K., Zhang, B.*, & Guan, C. * (2024). Increasing impacts of China's oil and gas demands on global CH4 emissions. Science of the Total Environment, 912, 12, 169624.(SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169624 
  7. Gao, S., Zhang, G. , Guan, C. , Mao, H. , Zhang, B.*, & Liu, H. *(2024). The expansion of global LNG trade and its implications for CH4 emissions mitigation. Environmental Research Letters, 19(1), 9, 014022. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad0eff 
  8. You, M. , Huang, J. , & Guan, C. (2023). Are New Towns Prone to Urban Heat Island Effect? Implications for Planning Form and Function. Sustainable Cities and Society, 99, 13, 104939.(SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2023.104939 
  9. Cheng, X. , Wu, X. , Guan, C. , Sun, X. , & Zhang, B. (2023). Impacts of production structure changes on global CH4 emissions: Evidences from income-based accounting and decomposition analysis. Ecological Economics, 213, 15, 107967.  (SCIE&SSCI)https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2023.107967 
  10. Yang, Y., Cheng, D. , Zhang, B.*, Guan, C.* , Cheng, X. , & Cheng, T. (2023). Coal resource-based cities at the crossroads: Towards a sustainable urban future. Cities, 140, 15, 104424. (SSCI) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2023.104424 
  11. Guan, C., Gómez, J. A., Tripathy, P., Duque, J. C., Passos, S., Cheng, T., Li, Y., & Keith, M. (2023). Evaluating the impact of water protection policy on urban growth: A case study of Jiaxing. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science (SSCI) https://doi.org/10.1177/23998083231163182 
  12. Sun, X., Cheng, X., Guan, C., Wu, X., & Zhang, B. (2022). Economic drivers of global and regional CH4 emission growth from the consumption perspective. Energy Policy, 170, 113242. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113242 
  13. Liu, J., Cheng, F., Commane, R., Zhu Y., Ji, W., Man, X.,  Guan, C., & J. Munger, W. (2023) Quantifying an Overlooked Deciduous-Needleleaf Carbon Sink at the Southern Margin of the Central-Siberian Permafrost Zone. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, e2022JG006845 (SCI) https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JG006845 
  14. Wang, X., Tian. W., Guan, C., Wu, X., Sun, X., Zhang, B. (2022) Global temporal evolution of CH4 emissions via geo-economic integration. Journal of Environmental Management 305, 114377 (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.114377
  15. Gao, J., Guan, C., Zhang, B. (2022) Why are methane emissions from China's oil & natural gas systems still unclear? A review of current bottom-up inventories. Science of the Total Environment 807(3), 151076. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.151076
  16. Sun, X., Li, Z., Cheng, X., Guan, C., Han, M., Zhang, B. (2022) Global anthropogenic CH4 emissions from 1970 to 2018: Gravity movement and decoupling evolution. Resources, Conservation & Recycling 182, 106335. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2022.106335
  17. Liu, Y., Ma, R., Guan, C., Chen, B., Zhang, B. (2022) Global trade network and CH4 emission outsourcing. Science of the Total Environment 803, 150008. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.150008
  18. Altinkaya-Genel O., Guan C.* (2021) Assessing urbanization dynamics in Turkey’s Marmara Region using CORINE data between 2006 and 2018. In a special issue - CORINE Land Cover System: Limits and Challenges for Territorial Studies and Planning. Remote Sensing. 13(4), 664 (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13040664
  19. Gómez, J., Guan, C.*, Tripathy, P., Duque, J., Passos, S., Keith, M., Liu, J. (2021) Analyzing the spatiotemporal uncertainty in urbanization predictions. Remote Sensing, 13(3), 512 (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13030512
  20. Ma, R., Li, K., Guo, Y., Zhang, B., Zhao, X., Linder, S, Guan, C., Chen, G., Gan, Y., Meng, J.  (2021) Mitigation potential of global ammonia emissions and related health impacts in the trade network. Nature Communications 12:6308. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-25854-3
  21. Gao, J., Guan, C., Zhang, B., Li, K. (2021) Decreasing methane emissions from China’s coal mining with rebounded coal production. Environmental Research Letters 16, 124037. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac38d8
  22. Zhang, Y., Guan, C., Chen, B., Zeng, L., Zhang, B. (2021) Tracking embodied water uses and GHG emissions along Chinese supply chains. Journal of Cleaner Production. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2020.125590
  23. Zhang, Y., Wu, X., Guan, C., Zhang, B. (2021) Methane emissions of major economies in 2014: A household-consumption-based perspective. Science of the Total Environment, 768, 144523. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.144523
  24. Gao, J., Guan, C., Zhang, B. (2020) China’s CH4 emissions from coal mining: A review of current bottom-up inventories. Science of the Total Environment, 725. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138295
  25. Zhao, X., Wu, X., Guan, C., Ma, R., Nielsen, C., Zhang, B. (2020) Linking Agricultural GHG emissions to Global Trade Network. Earth’s Future, 8(3) e2019EF001361. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001361
  26. Liu, Y., Wu, X., Sun, X., Guan, C., Zhang, B., Wu, X. (2020) Exports-driven primary energy requirements and the structural paths of Chinese regions. Frontiers of Earth Science. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1007/s11707-020-0822-4
  27. Zhang, B., Zhang, Y., Wu, X., Guan, C., Qiao, H. (2020) How the manufacturing economy impacts China's energy-related GHG emissions? Insights from structural path analysis. Science of the Total Environment, 743. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140769
  28. Han, M., Zhang, B., Zhang, Y., Guan, C*. (2019) Agricultural CH4 and N2O emissions of major economies: Consumption vs. production-based perspectives. Journal of Cleaner Production, 210, 276-286. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2018.11.018
  29. Wang, Y., Chen, B., Guan, C., Zhang, B. (2019) Evolution of methane emissions in global supply chains during 2000-2012. Resources, Conservation & Recycling, 150, 1-11, 104414. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2019.104414
  30. Guan S, Han M, Wu X, Guan, C., Zhang, B. (2019) Exploring energy-water-land nexus in national supply chains: China 2012. Energy, 185, 1225-1234. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2019.07.130
  31. Guan, C.*, Rowe, P. (2018). In pursuit of a well-balanced network of cities and towns: A case study of the Changjiang Delta Region. Environment and Planning B: Urban Analytics and City Science, 48 (3), 1-19. (SSCI) https://doi.org/10.1177/2399808317696073
  32. Zhang, B, Zhao, X, Wu, X, Han, M, Guan, C*., Song, S (2018) Consumption-based accounting of global anthropogenic CH4 emissions. Earth’s Future, 6 (9) 1349-1363. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000917
  33. Ma, R., Chen, B., Guan, C., Meng, J., Zhang, B. (2018) Socioeconomic determinants of China’s growing CH4 emissions. Journal of Environmental Management, 228, 103-116. (SCIE) https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.08.110